Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.077274 0.089969 0.104015 0.120699 0.139966 0.161508 0.187414
2024-10-13 0.058817 0.075844 0.096587 0.123672 0.158062 0.200231 0.255832
2024-10-20 0.044965 0.062950 0.086619 0.119950 0.165583 0.225768 0.311080
2024-10-27 0.035797 0.053702 0.078840 0.116549 0.171510 0.248506 0.364361
2024-11-03 0.030851 0.049130 0.076265 0.119237 0.185317 0.282771 0.437045
2024-11-10 0.027711 0.046537 0.075901 0.124692 0.203352 0.324724 0.525607
2024-11-17 0.024653 0.043475 0.074195 0.127533 0.217313 0.361662 0.610426
2024-11-24 0.021729 0.040109 0.071405 0.128011 0.227183 0.392820 0.689127
2024-12-01 0.019151 0.036904 0.068360 0.127483 0.235019 0.421125 0.765835
2024-12-08 0.016841 0.033808 0.065030 0.125886 0.240566 0.445802 0.838602
2024-12-15 0.015618 0.032565 0.064864 0.129973 0.256743 0.490725 0.952232
2024-12-22 0.014531 0.031419 0.064696 0.133961 0.273076 0.537467 1.074025
2024-12-29 0.013578 0.030440 0.064791 0.138609 0.291510 0.590653 1.215104
2025-01-05 0.012626 0.029328 0.064479 0.142401 0.308725 0.643433 1.361520
2025-01-12 0.011083 0.026684 0.060618 0.138241 0.309011 0.662542 1.442140
2025-01-19 0.009771 0.024359 0.057119 0.134366 0.309348 0.681630 1.524585
2025-01-26 0.009131 0.023514 0.056780 0.137460 0.325216 0.734869 1.685323
2025-02-02 0.008763 0.023270 0.057777 0.143724 0.348905 0.807343 1.895689
2025-02-09 0.008231 0.022535 0.057519 0.146985 0.366022 0.867042 2.083725
2025-02-16 0.007592 0.021428 0.056215 0.147533 0.376761 0.913398 2.246046
2025-02-23 0.006958 0.020235 0.054536 0.146927 0.384605 0.953825 2.398669
2025-03-02 0.006330 0.018961 0.052483 0.145094 0.389163 0.986905 2.537119
2025-03-09 0.006057 0.018648 0.052903 0.149784 0.410851 1.063515 2.789963